The Montana Statewide Longitudinal Data System (SLDS) conducts applied research and sponsors research in affiliated institutions. Our sponsored research includes grants to the Department of Education and the Department of Economics and Applied Economics at Montana State University. The research includes studies on student financial literacy, ACT outcomes, STEM careers, high school graduation status, post-secondary enrollment, and Career and Technical Education.

Our current research focus is on School Level Poverty Measures (SLPM) and an evaluation of the Montana Early Warning System. The SLPM study is funded by the National Center for Education Statistics and the evaluation for the Early Warning System is funded by the National Center for Education Research (in collaboration with Montana State University). The SLDS has also conducted analysis for three years of the Smarter Balanced Interim Assessments.

The SLDS focused narrowly on learning within on-reservation communities and completed two studies of school trends on the Northern Cheyenne Indian Reservation (Circle of Schools) and submitted a technical report titled ‘Culture and Schools’ that was a collaboration between the American Indian Student Achievement unit and the SLDS unit pursuant to authorization by the state legislature to conduct research on the Native student achievement gap. This focus group study involved 45 participants who explained their perspectives on the achievement gap between American Indian students and their peers.


OPI Research


Salary and Turnover Studies (2024-2025)

Student Level Poverty Measures: Direct Certification (2024)

Direct certification has been described by policymakers and academics as a tool which may replace National School Lunch Program (NSLP) eligibility data (Douglas Geverdt, National Center for Education Statistics, personal communication, August 28, 2023). It suggests a policy future in which we change the metric of how we identify disadvantage. On the state level, this impacts allocations, program evaluations, and sponsored research by research institutions. Historically, NSLP eligibility data has been an effective predictor of student outcomes such as achievement and attendance. Little is currently known if direct certification will continue the policy legacy of NSLP eligibility data by accounting for differences in student level outcomes in the same way. Using student level data, this study finds that direct certification meets or exceeds the predictive validity of Montana eligibility data. This means that how direct certification explains student outcomes is like how NSLP eligibility data does, most notably in areas of student achievement. Direct certification does carry its own limitations, for example, comparability between states and systems. Measures for SNAP, TANF, and student statuses that are categorically eligible also differ in the predictive validity of each measure. Due to the differences between these component measures, it may be said that the overall construct is “accidental.” Between states, there is no set formula for the percentage of students that come from SNAP, TANF, Medicaid, or categorically eligible groups. This study establishes that there are differences between these groups in the degree to which the poverty measure predicts variation in a student outcome.

Direct Certification as a Measure of Student Poverty

Evaluation of a Predictive Model: Montana Early Warning System (2023-2025)

Early Warning Systems (EWS) developed in response to No Child Left Behind and its focus on graduation and accountability. EWS developed in diverse contexts, with rural, town, and city implementations. They are becoming ubiquitous since many Student Information Systems and Statewide Longitudinal Data Systems have embedded EWS data tools. Few research studies focus on the processes involved, policy or otherwise, of EWS implementation. This technical report focuses on the processes apparent in schools that have implemented the program in Montana including early identification, longitudinal analysis, and progress monitoring. Schools implement the model in various ways. The scope and intensity of the model varies on vision, perceived value, and dissemination. By putting this in the context of a rural state, we are able to see how statewide policies can democratize access and use of the model.

The research reported here was supported by the Institute of Education Sciences, U.S. Department of Education, through Grant R305S210011 to the Montana Office of Public Instruction. The opinions expressed are those of the author and do not represent views of the Institute or the U.S. Department of Education.

Executive Summary
Technical Report
Dropout and Interventions
American School Board Journal
Journal of Scholarship and Practice

Student Level Poverty Measures: Statewide (2022)

For over 50 years education policy has been guided by an insufficient understanding of economic disadvantage. One component involves poverty measures as seen in the use of free and reduced-price meal data - National School Lunch Program eligibility (NSLP). Since the incorporation of eligibility data into policy in the 1970’s, there have been questions as to which poverty measure to choose in what context. NSLP eligibility largely filled that gap. Nonetheless, NSLP eligibility data has many emerging insufficiencies, including over identification of students, inaccurate income information, and inaccurate accounting of poor students in Community Eligible Provision districts (Geverdt & Nixon, 2018). Most districts and schools participate in the USDA program. However, the number of schools which do not participate in NSLP in Montana is significant (97 do not have claims data in March 2019). To assess these challenges and potential alternatives, we measure eight alternative poverty measures to see which ones meet the historical standard of NSLP. This study analyzes the use case of Montana (statewide data) for measures such as NSLP eligibility, participation, direct certification, and SAIPE.

The research reported here was supported by the Institute of Education Sciences, U.S. Department of Education, through Grant R372A200011 to the Montana Office of Public Instruction. The opinions expressed are those of the author and do not represent views of the Institute or the U.S. Department of Education. 

Statewide
Summary

Student Level Poverty Measures: Community Size and Distance (2022)

The challenges of National School Lunch Program data stem from over identification of students, inaccurate income data, issues with coverage in rural areas, and difficulties in accounting for Community Eligibility Provision districts. Recent research literature focuses on the need for an alternative poverty measure. Six poverty measures are used to gauge differences and assess alternatives. By applying a statistical model that uses student outcome measures as predictors and adding/removing controls (poverty measures) the consistency of alternative poverty measures becomes apparent. The Spatially Interpolated Demographic Estimates prove the most consistent and suitable of the alternative measures across locales. Evidence of this occurs with linear regressions involving similar sign, significance, and magnitude as the meal data across city, town, and rural areas.

The research reported here was supported by the Institute of Education Sciences, U.S. Department of Education, through Grant R372A200011 to the Montana Office of Public Instruction. The opinions expressed are those of the author and do not represent views of the Institute or the U.S. Department of Education.

Locale
Summary
International Journal of
Education Policy and Leadership

Student Level Poverty Measures: Proximity to School (2023)

Variation in income and educational outcomes in rural schools can be calculated based on the distance students live from school. This difference is important since many demographic indicators in many geographies are homogenous, however income is not. Near factors (students living close to school) are highly correlated to NSLP and explain to a greater degree variation in student outcome data in Cities. The analysis in Rural Remote areas is complex since income to poverty ratios for far students are much lower than for near students. Data pertinent to students ‘in town’ in rural remote contexts may not be sufficient to explain school level poverty and student outcome trends.

The research reported here was supported by the Institute of Education Sciences, U.S. Department of Education, through Grant R372A200011 to the Montana Office of Public Instruction. The opinions expressed are those of the author and do not represent views of the Institute or the U.S. Department of Education.

Proximity
Summary
Rural Educator

Circle of Schools - Coordination Between Schools on the Northern Cheyenne Indian Reservation (2023)

Consortiums of education institutions develop based on shared challenges and a common mission. The Circle of Schools was convened on the Northern Cheyenne Indian Reservation in 2009 to bring together regional community, school, and tribal leadership for the purpose of working together to support student success. The common challenges faced by participants include rurality and poverty. Of particular importance is Native student success throughout the consortium as challenges among this population are unique and persistent. A common belief amongst participants is a shared cultural understanding and desire to educate all students to their greatest potential.

The purpose of this document is to provide data which can illustrate the context behind the participating K‐12 institutions (private, public, and tribal). The data provided in this report is by no means a comprehensive summary of all the relevant data from these institutions. It simply represents data that is available at the Montana Office of Public Instruction. The report does provide essential student and teacher characteristics‐ data which can be used to help interpret and address the challenges and opportunities for students throughout Rosebud County. It focuses on district level reporting rather than school level (both elementary districts and high school) to better account for the division in elementary districts between the lower grades and the 7th and 8th grade schools. This 2022 report is a follows up on a 2020 document that used SLDS data to describe schools in Rosebud County.

Circle of Schools Narrative (10/14/2022)
Circle of Schools Narrative (3/13/2020)

Culture & Schools: American Indian Perspectives on the American Indian Student Achievement Gap (2020)

On a biennial basis, the OPI produces a quantitative report detailing the American Indian student achievement gap. This report details student outcomes for assessments (SBAC and ACT) and graduation/dropout data points. In order to expand on this report to answer questions about factors influencing the gap, the American Indian Student Achievement (AISA) unit and the Statewide Longitudinal Data Systems unit have launched a three phase study of the achievement and graduation gap between American Indian students that live on- and off-reservation, and their peers throughout the state of Montana.

Phase one was a focus group that collected data from 45 stakeholders on-reservation and in off-reservation schools with a high concentration of American Indian students. We found that out-of-school effects were cited nearly as frequently as in school effects. Additionally, the impact of poverty and family and home-life circumstances were more often cited as explanatory factors than issues involving attendance, mobility and dropout. In forthcoming phases (a large-scale survey and interviews with indigenous scholars) these and other areas of inquiry from phase one will be examined in further detail and reported here.

Please find below two documents: our executive summary of the focus group findings, and a full technical report.

Executive Summary of the Focus Group Findings
Full Technical Report

SBAC Interim Reports (2019 & 2020)

Trends among Matched Pairs of Assessments: Following Participants in 2019 When They Take the Same Assessment in 2020

The Smarter Balanced Assessment Consortium (SBAC) has been an assessment partner of the Montana Office of Public Instruction since 2015. The first year of assessments was a trial run of the Summative end of year assessment given in Grades 3-8. As a complement to the Summative assessment, SBAC has a battery of assessments meant to help students preform standards based grade level work and prepare for the Summative assessment. The SBAC Interim assessment consist of two different grade level regimens. The Interim Assessment Block (IAB) measure approximately 8 grade level assessments of student performance per content areas. Designed to be administered during one class period, they can be taken individually, or mixed with the specific regimen of the IABs at a specific grade level. The Interim Comprehensive Assessment (ICA) is meant to mirror the Summative assessment and contains four different components for both Math and ELA. Traditionally in Montana, most schools have chosen to take the IABs. What both exams have in common is that there are scale scores (the basic unit of assessment measurement) and proficiency levels. The Interims have their own metric for proficiency level that is different from what is provided with the Summative. The Interims proficiency level is 1 to 3 with 1 representing Below Standard, 2 representing At/Near Standard, and 3 representing Above Standard. Typically, most students who take the Interim assessments in Montana score At/Near Standard on both the ELA and math assessments.

Summary of Comparisons Involving SBAC Interim Results (SY 2018 – 2019)

Montana uses the Smarter Balanced assessment that is aligned to Montana’s Content Standards for mathematics and English Language Arts (ELA). These content standards were adopted in fall of 2011 and implemented July 1, 2013. The test began its rollout during the 2012–2013 school year with a large-scale volunteer pilot. This is the general population assessment given online as a computer adaptive test for Grades 3–8. In 2013–2014, there was a census field test administration where the state participated in the U.S. Department of Education “double-testing” waiver for states. In 2014–2015, the first operational assessment was given in all schools.

Summary of Finding from an Analysis of the SBAC Interim Assessments’ Impact on Student Outcomes on the SBAC Summative Assessment (SY 2017 – 2018)

This analysis finds that there are positive significant mean differences when comparing student outcomes on the Smarter Balanced Assessment Consortium (SBAC) Interim Assessments and corresponding student outcomes on the SBAC Summative Assessment indicating growth between the two time periods the tests were taken and a possible positive impact of taking the SBAC Interim and subsequent summative scores. This is important as we encourage districts to implement the testing, or specific parts of the testing, we can state that for numerous parts of the assessments students showed growth between the two test periods. There are two kinds of Interim Assessments. The Interim Assessment Blocks Assessment (IAB) focus on specific topics, can be administered in one class period, and do not require that all blocks are taken in a grade level. The Interim Comprehensive Assessment measures the same content and standards as the SBAC Summative Assessment, takes 3-4 hours to administer, and provides information on achievement overall, including claims data. Both assessments can be taken as a standardized or non-standardized assessment. Both assessments provide data in the form of a scale score that is comparable with the scores on the SBAC Summative Assessment.

Student Trends in Schools Encouraged to take the SBAC Interims

The Smarter Balanced Assessment Consortium (SBAC) has been an assessment partner of the Montana Office of Public Instruction since 2015. The first year of assessments was a trial run of the Summative end of year assessment given in Grades 3-8. As a complement to the Summative assessment, SBAC has a battery of assessments meant to help students preform standards-based grade level work and prepare for the Summative assessment. The SBAC Interim assessment consist of two different grade level regimens. The Interim Assessment Block (IAB) measure approximately 8 grade level assessments of student performance per content areas (math and ELA). Designed to be administered during one class period, they can be taken individually, or mixed with the specific regimen of the IABs at a specific grade level. The Interim Comprehensive Assessment (ICA) is meant to mirror the Summative assessment and contains four different components for both math and ELA. Traditionally in Montana, most schools have chosen to take the IABs. In fact, only 2883 student took the Math ICA in the 2019 – 2020 SY.

 


Partner Research


ACT Outcomes (2019)

Brazill, S. (2019). The Relationship of Gender, School Attendance, and Grade Level with ACT English and Composite Test Scores. In G. Marks (Ed.), Proceedings of Global Learn 2019-Global Conference on Learning and Technology (pp. 64-69). Princeton-Mercer, New Jersey: Association for the Advancement of Computing in Education (AACE). Retrieved October 6, 2020 from https://www.learntechlib.org/primary/p/210291/ [learntechlib.org].

Factors that predict ACT science scores from a multicultural perspective. Educational Research: Theory and Practice, 30(2), 1-16.

His study investigated predictors for ACT Science scores, a test used by many universities to rank applicants. This study utilized quantitative research methods using the Montana Office of Public Instruction’s GEMS (Growth and Enhancement of Montana Students) data set. All advanced statistical analysis was conducted using Stata software IC/15. This research is significant for increasing the representation of under-represented groups in STEM education because it helps clarify three important relationships: (1) How well do gender, race, and meal status predict 11th grade ACT Science scores; (2) How well does school size predict 11th grade ACT Science scores while controlling for gender, race, and meal status; and (3) How well does high school GPA predict 11th grade ACT Science scores while controlling for gender, race, meal status, and school size.

This manuscript utilized quantitative research methods to analyze the Montana Office of Public Instruction’s GEMS (Growth and Enhancement of Montana Students) dataset. This research is important because it helps clarify three important relationships: (1) Is there a statistically significant difference in the average 11th grade English scores between males and females; (2) Does the number of days present at school influence students’ 11th grade ACT composite scores; and (3) Do individual students’ ACT English scores improve from 11th grade to 12th grade.

Brazill, S. C. (2020). Race and gender factors in ACT English and composite scores. Educational Research: Theory and Practice, 32(1), 17-28.

This study utilized quantitative research methods using the Montana Office of Public Instruction’s Growth and Enhancement of Montana Students (GEMS) data set. This quantitative research is important because it provides insight on the following relationships (1) Is there a statistically significant difference among students from different races on their mean 11th grade ACT English scores?; (2) Is there an interaction between gender and race on students’ mean 11th grade ACT English scores?; and (3) Is there a statistically significant difference among American Indian students mean ACT composite score from their Junior to their Senior year.

Better Borrowing for Students - How State Mandated Financial Education Drives College Financing Behavior (2018)

Paper Title: The Effects of State Mandated Financial Education on College Financial Behavior

Authors: Christina Stoddard, PhD & Carly Urban, PhD

Affiliation: Department of Economics, Montana State University

Funded by: Montana Office of Public Instruction and the National Endowment for Financial Education

This paper, which also has been adapted into an executive summary, examines the effect of high school personal finance graduation requirements on student decisions about how to finance college. Personal finance requirements exist in many different forms in twenty-five states. The authors conduct an analysis to evaluate the factors that affect financial decision making during their freshman year. They compare students that are in states with those requirements to students in states where financial education is not required for graduation. Montana is examined in a case study as a state which does not have state required financial education. The analyses are informed by data from the National Post-Secondary Student Aid Study (NPSAS), Current Population Survey (CPS), Integrated Post-Secondary Education Data Systems (IPEDS), and data from the Montana Office of Public Instruction and the Montana University System.

The analysis uses data from 25 states. This approach is used “to compare incoming freshman at four year institutions from states with personal finance requirement before and after implementing the requirement to comparable students whose states lack a mandate” (Stoddard & Urban,2018, p. 2).

Stoddard & Urban (2018, p.1) suggest the following findings from their study:

  • Financial education graduation requirements shift students from high-cost to low-cost financing behaviors.
  • Requirements increase federal aid applications and acceptance of low cost federal student loans.
  • Requirements decrease the likelihood of students holding credit card balances.
  • Students from less affluent family backgrounds further reduce their likelihoods of working while enrolled.
  • Borrowers from more affluent backgrounds reduce private loan amounts.
  • The mandates do not change college attendance or choice of institution type.

The data from Montana suggest:

  • There are no statistical differences across students in schools that do and do not offer personal finance course (Stoddard & Urban, 2018, p. 14)
  • There are no visible patterns in schools offering and not offering financial education based on their geography or distance from main highways in the state (Ibid).
  • School choices to add a personal finance course are idiosyncratic (Stoddard & Urban, 2018, p. 32).
  • There are no statistical differences in having subsidized Stafford loans, having unsubsidized Stafford loans or having a grant (Ibid).

There are several implications to the study. Personal finance graduation requirements improve student financial behaviors in college. The benefits may extend beyond college financing decision. The report may be downloaded from the GEMS website.

Choice of STEM Major Research (2020)

"College Enrollment and STEM Major Choice in a Rural State: A Statewide Examination of Recent High School Cohorts, examined both institution type enrollment (2-year v. 4-year) and college major selection (STEM v. non-STEM) using the GEMS random data set of high school cohorts graduating in 2013-2017. The data set was released under a cooperation among the Office of the Commissioner of Higher Education, the OPI, and Dr. Fenqjen Luo at the Department of Education, MSU. We are only reporting findings for students who stayed in Montana for college. The study examined 3,119 students and found that Montana students are more likely to enroll into a 4-year institution than a 2-year institution (79.6% v. 20.4%). Also, students who enrolled at a 4-year institution are more likely to consider a STEM major than students at a 2-year institution. When examining institution type, significant explanatory variables included high school GPA, ACT STEM score, ACT English score, free/reduced-price lunch participation, and race/ethnicity. An interesting finding showed that American Indian/Alaska Native students were more likely to enroll into a 4-year institution than White students. When examining major choice, only high school GPA, ACT STEM score, gender, and institution type were significant predictors of selecting a major in a STEM field. Specifically, male students were over three times as likely to select a major in a STEM field when compared to their female counterparts. The authors also discuss limitations and recommendations for future research. The study is currently under review in Theory & Practice in Rural Education. 

This research was conducted at MSU by two doctoral students, Que N. Tran and Monte Meyerink, and two faculty members, Dr. Alexandra Aylward and Dr. Fenqjen Luo. Additionally, we acknowledge the excellent support from Dr. Robin Clausen at OPI and OCHE during this research project. This research was funded by the grant, "Collaborative for Continuous Improvement in Education: Montana GEMS Data and the K-16 Pathway," from the Montana Office of Public Instruction for the College of Education, Health, and Human Development, MSU during the academic years 2017-2019 (Dr. Tricia Seifert, Principal Investigator). 

Teacher Data Driven Decision Making (2021)

Obery, A., Sletten, J., Vallor, R. & Schmitt-Wilson, S. (2020) Data Driven Decision Making in Teacher Education: Perceptions of Pre-Service Teachers and Faculty Who Teach Them, Action in Teacher Education, DOI: 10.1080/01626620.2020.1762139 [doi.org]

Integrating data driven decision making into teacher preparation programs has been called for by several researchers in order to help lessen the barriers teachers face in using data in their teaching. This mixed methods study examined the perceptions of data use in education by pre-service teachers (N = 112) and perceived knowledge and skills required for successful use from both pre-service teachers (N = 6) and the faculty who educate them (N = 5). Results have implications for teacher preparation programs considering data literacy integration and for researchers aiming to understand the best ways to encourage data driven decision-making skills and knowledge in pre-service teachers.

Career and Technical Education (2018 - Present)

Urban, C., Carruthers, C. K., Dougherty, S., Goldring, T., Kreisman, D., & Theobald, R. (2022). A multi-state analysis of trends in career and technical education: Massachusetts, Michigan, Montana, Tennessee, and Washington. Georgia Policy Labs. https://gpl.gsu.edu/?wpdmdl=2704 [nam10.safelinks.protection.outlook.com] [nam10.safelinks.protection.outlook.com]

This report seeks to understand changes in CTE concentration just before and just after the pandemic began using administrative data across five states: Massachusetts, Michigan, Montana, Tennessee, and Washington. The study explores how and where CTE concentration substantively changed across cohorts and by CTE concentration clusters at the start of the pandemic, including by student characteristics such as gender, race, ethnicity, and for students with identified disabilities. In addition, the study explores CTE concentration by urbanicity where comparisons between rural students and students in urban areas reveal differences in some states. Lastly, high school graduation rates of CTE concentrators in these states are explored before and after the start of the pandemic. 

 

For Montana specific findings visit: https://gpl.gsu.edu/publications/trends-in-cte-in-montana/ 

As a uniquely rural state that requires a minimum of 1 CTE credit for a high school graduation diploma, Montana reveals interesting trends for CTE concentrators. In particular, roughly half of Montana high school students are CTE concentrators where participation is largely of rural, male students across the state. In addition, this study reveals that students who concentrated in CTE were more likely to graduate high school than non-concentrators, especially for students with identified disabilities and those living in rural areas.

 

See Education Data on GEMS

 


OPI Staff are here to help:

Robin Clausen, SLDS Program Manager, 406-444-3793

 

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